Stock Market Today: Sensex Tanks 1,023 Points, Nifty Slips as Crude Oil, Rupee Pressure Weigh

Speaking at a public function in Hyderabad on May 10, PM Modi said the country must treat fuel conservation as a national responsibility at a time when the West Asia crisis has pushed up global energy prices.

Also Read: PM Modi Urges Indians to Avoid Gold, Save Fuel Amid Iran-US War: What It Means for India

1. The US-Iran Ceasefire

This is the single biggest trigger. US President Donald Trump, commenting on the ongoing peace talks, called the month-old ceasefire with Iran "on massive life support" after Tehran submitted what he termed an "unacceptable" counterproposal. That one statement was enough to rattle markets globally.

The fear is simple — if the ceasefire collapses, the Strait of Hormuz, through which nearly half of India's crude oil imports pass, faces renewed risk of disruption. India imports 85–88% of its crude oil. When that supply chain is threatened, the entire macro picture for India starts looking fragile. Rising freight costs are already eating into corporate margins, including pharma companies that expected a better Q4FY26.

Also Read: US-Iran Talks: Trump Says Proposal to Tehran Is More Than a ‘One-Page Offer’

2. Crude Oil Above 05

Brent crude futures were trading around 04.99 a barrel on Tuesday morning, up 0.75% on the day. Oil has been wildly volatile in recent weeks — it had briefly touched 13.63 at the start of May before pulling back. The renewed tension from Trump's ceasefire remarks reversed the brief calm. For India, every 0 rise in crude widens the current account deficit by 40–50 basis points. That is not a small number.

3. The Rupee Hit a Fresh Low

The rupee opened at 95.51 against the US dollar on Tuesday, down 20 paise from Monday's close of 95.31 — itself already a fresh low. In 2026 so far, the rupee has fallen 5.7% against the dollar, making it the worst-performing Asian currency this year. The RBI has been intervening to contain the damage, but with oil prices elevated and dollar demand strong, the currency continues to face pressure. A weaker rupee raises import costs further, creating a loop that feeds back into inflation and market sentiment.

4. European Markets Also Dropped

It was not just an India problem. European markets fell in tandem as West Asia uncertainty and high oil prices weighed on global risk appetite. This added to selling pressure in Indian markets through the afternoon session.

5. Canara Bank Q4 Results Disappointed

Separately from the macro headwinds, Canara Bank's Q4FY26 results added to the selling pressure in the PSU banking space. The bank posted a 10% year-on-year decline in consolidated net profit to ₹4,506 crore, with profit also falling 13% from the previous quarter. Net interest income rose a modest 4% to ₹9,808 crore. Canara Bank shares dropped nearly 7% intraday, hitting a low of ₹130.50 on the NSE. On BSE, shares were down about 3.9% to ₹131.20 as of mid-session.

Also Read: India’s Economy Projected to Grow at 6.6% in FY2026-27: SBI Research Report Explained

Analyst Comment / Expert View

Market analysts suggest that the near-term direction of Indian equities will depend heavily on three factors: crude oil prices, rupee movement and progress in US-Iran talks. If crude cools and geopolitical tensions ease, markets may attempt a recovery from current levels. However, if oil remains elevated and the rupee continues to weaken, investors may remain cautious, especially in rate-sensitive and import-cost-heavy sectors. Reuters also reported that Indian markets remained under pressure on May 12, 2026, as oil prices and rupee weakness weighed on sentiment.

Sector-Wise Update

Nifty IT is the worst-performing sector today, declining the most among peers. IT stocks were also weak on Monday and the selling has continued.

Nifty Realty is getting hammered again. Realty stocks tumbled over 3% as worries about interest rates, rising input costs, and a risk-off mood hit the sector. On Monday, Nifty Realty had already fallen over 3%.

Nifty Consumer Durables was one of Monday's biggest casualties (down nearly 4%) and continues to underperform.

Nifty PSU Bank is under pressure given Canara Bank's results and broader weakness in public sector lenders.

Nifty Media is also among the underperformers today.

Nifty Oil & Gas: Aegis Vopak Terminals, Mahanagar Gas, and Adani Total Gas are among the top losers in this space, even as crude prices remain elevated — the concern is margin pressure and input cost volatility rather than revenue.

On the brighter side, Nifty FMCG, Pharma, and Healthcare are relatively better placed today, offering some defensive cover.

Today's Top Losers (NSE/Nifty)

• Canara Bank — Down ~7% intraday after weak Q4FY26 profit. One of the sharpest single-stock falls of the day.
• Nifty IT stocks — Broad weakness across the IT pack, continuing Monday's trend.
• Realty stocks — Nifty Realty declined sharply; real estate has been one of the hardest-hit sectors over the past two sessions.
• Titan Company — Was among Nifty's top losers Monday; consumer spending stocks remain vulnerable.
• InterGlobe Aviation (IndiGo) — Airline stocks stay under pressure given high crude oil prices, which directly inflate fuel costs.
• State Bank of India — PSU banking weakness, compounded by the broader risk-off trade.